Six-fold increase in air pollution-related deaths in the past decade, says report that tracks disease causes across the world
Outdoor air pollution has become the fifth largest killer in India after high blood pressure, indoor air pollution, tobacco smoking, and poor nutrition, says a new set of findings of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) report. The report says that about 620,000 premature deaths occur in India from air pollution-related diseases each year. This is up from 100,000 in 2000—a six-fold increase.
The India and South Asia-specific findings were released on Wednesday at a dialogue workshop, jointly organised by non-profit Centre for Science and Environment (CSE), the Indian Council of Medical Research and the US-based Health Effects Institute.
| Key India-specific findings
Increase in death toll: Air pollution is the fifth leading cause of death in India, with 620,000 premature deaths. This is up from 100,000 in 2000 – a six-fold increase.
Loss in healthy years: Air pollution is the seventh leading cause behind the loss of about 18 million healthy years of life due to illnessess. It comes after indoor air pollution, tobacco smoking, high blood pressure, childhood underweight, low nutritional status, and alcohol use.
Respiratory and cardiovascular diseases key reasons for air pollution-induced premature deaths: These diseases include stroke (25.48 per cent), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (17.32 per cent), Ischemic heart disease (48.6 per cent), lower respiratory infections (6.4 per cent), and trachea, bronchus and lung cancer (2.02 per cent).
Key findings for South Asia, world
Increase in death toll: Air pollution-related diseases cause 3.2 million deaths worldwide every year. This has increased from 800,000, last estimated by GBD in 2000—a whopping 300 per cent increase. About 74 million healthy life years are lost annually.
Ranked among the top 10 killers in the world: In South Asia, air pollution has been ranked just below blood pressure, tobacco smoking, indoor air pollution, poor intake of fruits and diabetes. Everyone—rich and poor—is vulnerable.
Two-thirds of the death burden from outdoor air pollution occurs in developing Asia: In 2010, particulate air pollution in Asia led to over 2.1 million premature deaths and 52 million years of healthy life lost, which is two-thirds of the worldwide burden. Killer outdoor air contributes to 1.2 million deaths in East Asia where economic growth and motorization are taking over, and 712,000 deaths in South Asia (including India) which is at the take-off stage. This is much higher than the combined toll of 400,000 in EU 27, Eastern Europe, and Russia.
The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) report is a world-wide initiative involving the World Health Organization (WHO), which tracks deaths and illnesses from all causes across the world every 10 years. The new findings were released by Aaron Cohen, principal epidemiologist of the Health Effects Institute and co-chair of the GBD Ambient Air Pollution Expert Group.
GBD has ranked air pollution as one of the top 10 killers in the world, and the sixth most dangerous killer in South Asia. In fact, particulate air pollution is now just three places behind indoor air pollution, which is the second highest killer in India. “This is a shocking and deeply disturbing news. This calls for urgent and aggressive action to protect public health,” says Sunita Narain, director general of CSE.
Among others who attended the release of the report and participated in the discussions were Union health secretary Kesav Desiraju, environment secretary of Delhi Sanjiv Kumar, and Vinod Raina, head of medical oncology department in AIIMS. Daniel Greenbaum, president, and Robert O Keefe, vice president, Health Effects Institute, shared the findings of the GBD assessment.
The India-specific analysis has been done using estimates of air pollution exposure at the national level and incidence of leading causes of deaths, aided by ground-level measurements, satellite remote sensing and models to capture population exposure. The GBD assessment follows a rigorous scientific process involving over 450 global experts and partner institutions including the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation, WHO, the Health Effects Institute, the University of Queensland, Australia, Johns Hopkins University and Harvard University.
Pollution trends in India
In the wake of the GBD findings, CSE has analysed the latest air quality data available with the Central Pollution Control Board for 2010. Of the 180 cities monitored for SO2, NO2 and PM10, only two—Malappuram and Pattanamthitta in Kerala—meet the criteria of low pollution (50% below the standard) for all air pollutants. The trends:
- Close to half the cities are reeling under severe particulate pollution while newer pollutants like nitrogen oxides, ozone and air toxics are increasing the public health challenge.
- Vulnerable urban population: Half of the urban population breathes air laced with particulate pollution that has exceeded the standards. As much as one-third of the population is exposed to critical levels of particulate pollution. Smaller and more obscure cities are among the most polluted.
- More cities in grip of PM10: About 78 per cent cities (141) exceed the PM10 standard. Ninety cities have critical levels of PM10; 26 have the most critical levels, exceeding the standard by over three times. Gwalior, West Singhbhum, Ghaziabad, Raipur, and Delhi are the top five critically polluted cities.
- More cities in grip of NO2: About 10 per cent of the cities (19) exceed the NO2 standard. Of these, about nine have critical levels. Howrah, Barrackpore, Badlapur, Ulhasnagar and Asansol are the five top critically polluted cities.
- State of SO2 pollution: One city—Lote in Maharashtra—exceeds the SO2 standard. Moderate levels of SO2 are noted in Jamshedpur and Saraikela Kharsawan in Jharkhand; Chandrapur, Badlapur, Ulhasnagar, and Pune in Maharashtra; Ghaziabad and Khurja in UP, Dehradun in Uttarakhand and Marmagao and Curchorem in Goa.
- Cities with double-trouble—particulates and NO2: Howrah, Barrackpore, Asansol, Durgapur, Sankrail, Raniganj, Kolkata (West Bengal), Badlapur and Ulhasnagar (Maharashtra) have critical levels of NO2 and PM10. Delhi, Haldia, Bicholim, Jamshedpur, Meerut, Noida, Saraikela Kharsawan, Jalgaon and Raipur have high levels of NO2 as well as critical levels of PM10.
- Worsening trend since 2005: The PM10 monitoring network has doubled between 2005 and 2010 from 96 to 180 cities. During this period, cities with low level of pollution have fallen from 10 to 2, while the number of critically polluted cities has increased from 49 to 89. In 2005 about 75 per cent cities exceeded the standard. In 2010, 78 per cent were found exceeding the standard. NO2 monitoring has expanded from 100 cities in 2005 to 177 in 2010. In 2005 only one city had exceeded the standard for NO2; in 2010, 19 cities have exceeded the standard. The tightening of the national ambient air quality standards has also changed the air quality profile of the cities.
- Stabilisation in some cities: Some mega cities that have initiated some pollution control action in recent years have witnessed either stabilisation or some decrease in the levels.
Anumita Roychowdhury, CSE’s executive director for research and advocacy and head of its air pollution team, says: “Days of doubts and complacency are over. There is hard evidence now to act urgently to reduce the public health risks to all, particularly children, elderly, and poor. No one can escape toxic air. India will have to take aggressive action to reverse the trend of short-term respiratory and cardiac effects as well as long-term cancer and other metabolic and cellular effects. Remember, toxic effects like cancer surface after a long latency period. Therefore, exposure to air pollution will have to be reduced today to reduce the burden of diseases.”
What India needs to do
- Make National Ambient Air Quality Standards legally binding in all regions. The national air quality planning and city action plans need a roadmap for each source of pollution and aggressive measures. Penalty should be imposed on cities if air quality standards are violated.
- Prepare stringent vehicle technology and fuel quality roadmap, encourage in-use vehicle management. The terms of reference of the new committee that has been set up to propose the next Auto Fuel Policy Roadmap does not even include public health in its agenda. Make urgent timelines for Euro V and Euro VI emissions standards. Contain dieselization.
- Control and cut increase in vehicle numbers by scaling up public transport, non-motorised transport, compact city planning and car restraint measures.
- Strengthen implementation plans for critically polluted notified areas
- Account for health cost in decision making. Valuation of acute and chronic illnesses must be linked to decision on air pollution control measures.
- Put in place a public information system on daily air quality with health advisories and implement smog alert and pollution emergencies measures.
| Cause for worry for Delhi
CSE has carried out a rapid survey of citizens of Delhi on their perception of air pollution and health and the mitigation strategies. This has exposed overwhelming popular concern about air pollution.
The majority of respondents—about 64 per cent—have said air pollution is worsening.
79 per cent have attributed the problem of air pollution to growing number of vehicles.
74 per cent have said that air pollution causes respiratory problems and respiratory symptoms have increased in frequency in the last two months. About 14 per cent say this has increased school absenteeism amongst children.
Close to half have said that their doctors have mentioned air pollution as one of the causal factors.
Close to one third of the respondents have said that they are aware of the new GBD estimates.
About 26 per cent know that WHO and International Agency on Cancer Research have reclassified diesel emission as a class 1 carcinogen, putting it in the same class as tobacco smoking for its strong link with lung cancer.
There is strong support for improvement in public transport, walking and cycling. About 47 per cent have supported reduction in car numbers. About 62 per cent have said there should be restraint on diesel cars and SUVs.
Read also: Workshop on Global Burden of Disease: Air Pollution amongst top killers in India
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