El Niño: Ethiopia faces worst drought in thirty years

Friday 15 January 2016

Crop production in Ethiopia has dropped by 50 to 90 per cent in some regions and failed completely in the eastern part of the country

El Niño has lowered crop prospects in many African countries 
Credit:DFID/Flickr

The prevailing El Niño phenomenon has caused crop failures, reduced livestock and pushed around 10.2 million people in Ethiopia into food insecurity, the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said on Friday. (Also read)

To tackle the situation, the United Nations food agency presented its emergency response plan to urgently protect livestock and rebuild crop production in the country.

“The outlook for 2016 is very grim,” Amadou Allahoury, the FAO representative for Ethiopia, said. “After two consecutive seasons of failed crops, the success of the main cropping season that starts now will be critical to preventing conditions from worsening.”

Earlier, a special alert was released by the FAO’s Global Information and Early Warning System that warned the prevailing El Niño will push up food prices and affect livestock production in Southern Africa. Low rainfall and increased temperatures will lead to reduced agricultural output. (Also read)

El Niño and food crisis

El Niño is associated with the abnormal warming of sea-surface temperature in the Pacific Ocean that has severe effects on global weather. While it leads to scanty rainfall and drought in some regions of the world, in others heavy rainfall and floods are common.

Currently, crop production in Ethiopia has dropped by 50 to 90 per cent in some regions and failed completely in the eastern part of the country. The drought has resulted in the loss of hundreds of thousands of livestock.

According to the FAO report, households dependent on crop and vegetable production have lost their main source of income and food as well their ability to plant during the next agricultural season.

Two failed agricultural seasons have reduced the availability of seeds as households attempted to plant their fields two to three times in the hope that the belg and kiremt (two yearly rainy seasons) would return.

Access to pasture and water will continue to deteriorate until the start of the next rainy season in March. Experts are anticipating that livestock will become leaner, sicker and produce less milk and many more will die.

At present, crop reserves are severely depleted, leaving farmers vulnerable without means of production for the upcoming planting season that starts in January.

Malnutrition rates have soared and the number of admissions for severe acute malnutrition among children is now the highest ever reported.

Central American nations also faced a prolonged dry spell associated with El Niño, leading to reduced crop output, especially that of maize and beans.

Response plan

FAO aims to assist 1.8 million farmers and livestock keepers in 2016 to reduce food gaps and restore agricultural production and income.

The UN agency is also supporting 10,000 seed producers to produce high-quality seeds and get the local market for seeds back on its feet.

 

Credit: FAO

“In Ethiopia, El Niño is not just a food crisis—it’s above all a livelihood crisis. And, we need to intervene now to protect and rebuild these livelihoods and people’s capacity to produce, to prevent families from becoming long-term dependent on food aid,” said Dominique Burgeon, leader of FAO’s Strategic Programme on Resilience and Director of FAO’s Emergencies and Rehabilitation Division.

Elsewhere in African, El Niño has lowered crop prospects and many countries in the region are taking measures. South Africa has already declared drought status for five provinces while Lesotho has issued a drought-mitigation plan. Swaziland has implemented water restrictions as reservoir levels have become low.

To address the El Niño phenomenon globally, FAO is implementing response plans in 20 high-priority countries in Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and the South Pacific, including Ethiopia. Another 21 countries are being monitored closely.

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  • My study on climatic fluctuationsin the precipitation data of Ethiopia suggests in major part at present below the average is running. In areas with 28 year cycle, new cycle starts around 1991. That means, around 2006 the below the average 14 year period started. In the case of areas with 36 years cycle the new cycle starts around 1989. That means, around 2008 the below the average 18 year period started. In areas with 22 year cycle, the newcycle starts around 1997. That means, around 2009 the below the average part commences. These years are given in my publication in a table [figures are presented for individual stations]. So, they are part of natural cycle.

    Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

    Posted by: Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy | 2 years ago | Reply
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