the agenda for the 9th Meeting of Parties to the Protocol (
mop-9) included measures to ensure compliance, curb smuggling of
cfc s, and phase out
hcfc s, methyl bromide, methyl chloroform, carbon tetrachloride and other
cfc substitutes with a high ozone depleting potential (
odp). A number of decisions were taken at
mop -9, but the issue of faster phase-out of
hcfc s and
cfc substitutes like hydrofluorocarbons (
hfcs), which has been opposed by the
us , was not resolved.
In a move to curb smuggling, the developed countries agreed to a total ban on sale of stockpiles of virgin
cfcs, except to meet the "basic domestic needs" of developing countries and for certain "essential uses", exempted under the protocol. The meeting also agreed to establish licensing systems for trade in new, used, reclaimed or recycled substances and for banning trade with parties that do not establish such systems themselves. The system will be based on licences issued by parties for each import and export transaction and on regular information exchange between parties. This will enable customs and police officials to track international trade in
cfcs and other controlled substances, and detect and discourage illegal sales. The system is to become effective from January 1, 2000. India has always opposed trade measures of this kind as they place tighter restrictions on exports from developing countries.
The proposals that were considered at the meeting inclu-ded control over export of equipment containing
cfcs to signatory countries and improving customs codes to facilitate accurate identification of controlled substances. Together, these new trade provisions would help prevent illegal traffic in controlled substances. Proposals for prohibiting import of newly produced
ods from parties that are not complying with the protocol and for controlling trade in methyl bromide with non-parties were also considered. The issue of new, unlisted substances that have lower but significant
odp entering the market was also raised.
A number of "essential-use exemptions" were considered to allow certain parties to use small but vital quantities of parti-cular chemicals for medical, research, and other scientific purposes. The matter of non-compliance by Latvia, Lithuania, and the Russian Federation could not be resolved. Russia has seven factories which are producing
cfcs illegally. It had asked for
us $40-50 million to destroy these facilities, re-employ the wor-kers and set up factories to produce substitutes. This was watered down by the
un to
us $ 27 million. But, donor countries being reluctant, only
us $ 15.5 million have been pledged so far by four countries. If the rest of the amount cannot be raised, these pledges, too, will lapse.
Decisions and revisions The European Commission (
ec) and Switzerland had called for an accelerated phase-out schedule for
hcfcs and for the introduction of production controls. They had proposed bringing forward the deadline for phasing out
hcfc use for maintenance and servicing to 2008. The
ec tried to persuade the
us to support restrictions on the use of
hcfc substitutes earlier than 2030. But the
us maintained its stand, opposing faster phase-out of
hcfcs and their substitutes. The
ec and Switzerland, however, urged that the issue be taken up at a future meeting.
Both developed countries and developing nations agreed to change their targets for phase-out for methyl bromide, widely used as a soil fumigant or pesticide. Canada, the
us and the European Union had submitted proposals requiring deve-loped countries to phase-out methyl bromide - production of which has touched 70,000 tonnes per year - by 2001, as against the previous target of 2010.The
us and Canada had made a similar proposal at the 15th meeting of the Open Ended Working Group of the protocol at Nairobi in June 1997, but were opposed by the group of 77 developing countries (
g-77). The
g -77 said that a date could be fixed only after demonstration projects in their countries had been completed.
After amendments, the phase-out of methyl bromide by developed countries, previously set at 2010, has been brought forward to 2005. Interim reductions of 25 per cent have to be made by 1999, 50 per cent by 2001, and 70 per cent by 2003. However, the deadlines will be weakened by a proviso allowing them to continue using the chemical for "critical agricultural use". The interim reduction schedule will be reviewed in 2003.
Developing countries were previously only committed to freezing methyl bromide by 2002 at the 1995-98 average level, but did not have a deadline to begin phase-out. At
mop -9, they agreed to a 20 per cent reduction on a four-year average - with 1995-98 as the base years - for calculating the phase-out. The Multilateral Fund would make available
us $25 million per year in 1998 and 1999 for activities relating to the phase-out. This would be in addition to the
us $10 million agreed last year for funding demonstration projects to test the feasibility of methyl bromide alternatives. A year after this part of the agreement comes into force, parties will ban trade in methyl bromide with non-parties.
India's stake Like other developing countries, which were insignificant consu-mers of
cfcs till the 1980s, India is a signatory under Article 5 of the protocol. Article 5 allows countries whose annual per capita consumption of
ods is less that 0.3 kg a time lag of 10 years to implement phase out use of such substances. In the past 10 years India, which signed the protocol in 1992, has become the seventh largest consumer of
cfcs in the world (
see graphs : Shared capacities and Changing consumption patterns). Its total consumption of
ods in 1991 was estimated to be 10,300 metric tonnes (mt), while the per capita consumption was a mere 10 grammes. By 1995, though overall consumption had increased to approximately 17,000 mt, per capita consumption had remained stable. If unchecked, it is estimated that demand for
ods in India may rise to 184,200 mt by 2010.
Of the eight types of substances listed in the Montreal Protocol under five annexures, India chiefly consumes those listed in Annexure A (
cfc -11,
cfc -12,
cfc -113, Halon 1211, Halon 1301) and Annexure B (carbon tetrachloride,
ctc , and methyl chloroform,
mcf). There are five industrial sectors which consume
cfcs and related chemicals, led by solvents processing, and refrigeration and air-conditioning (
rac). Foams, aerosols and fire extinguishers make up the rest (
see graph : Different stakes). Although the solvents sector uses the most
ods , it is the
rac sector which has seen the biggest growth and is the largest consumer of
cfcs. Many companies in this sector are small-scale and account for about two-thirds of the total consumption of
ods . A change-over to
cfc substitutes is all the more difficult for these companies, since new techno-logy is steeply priced.
India proposed at
mop -9 that the baseline for phase-out of
ods by Article 5 countries should be the average of the annual calculated level of production in 1995-97 (inclusive), or the set level of consumption of 0.3 kg per capita, whichever is lower, for Annexure A substances; and the average of the annual calculated level of production for 1998-2000 (inclusive), or the calculated level of consumption of 0.2 kg per capita, whichever is lower, for Annexure B substances.
Speaking at
mop-9, Union minister for environment and forests Saifuddin Soz regretted that the guidelines for funding projects for closure of production facilities of
ods are taking too long. He said that lack of finance was a major concern, and is preventing enterprises from changing over to environment-friendly technologies. He lamented that despite the 1990 London Amendment, transfer of technology has not come about.
He reiterated that funds should either be provided to convert
ods technology to non-
ods technology, or allow
ods to be used for servicing of equipment so that there is no financial burden on developing countries. "It will be unfortunate," he noted, "if in order to protect the ozone layer thousands of small entrepreneurs in a developing country go out of business."
He drew attention at the same time to efforts made by India for processing and implementation of phase-out projects. According to figures available with the ozone cell under the ministry of environment and forests, India has received
us $43 million to cover 138 projects and activities as of June 1997. Of this,
us $30 million have been disbursed to the industry to substitute
cfc s, halons -- compounds of bromine -- and other
ods . In mid-August, the fund reportedly approved an additional assistance of about
us $10 million (Rs 36 crore). This includes seven projects by seven companies to phase out
cfc s in the foam sector, amounting to
us $92,500 (Rs 3.3 crore).
The government continues to be optimistic about the possibility of achieving
cfc phase-out within the time-frame specified in the protocol. As an Article 5 signatory, India is committed to limiting
cfc production after the year 2000 and phasing it out completely by 2010. "The first obligation on India, and all other developing countries, is to achieve a freeze in consumption of
cfc s in the twelve-month period starting July 1999, at the level of the average consumption of
cfc s in 1996-97," according to the director of the ozone cell, Anil Agarwal.
India's total licensed
cfc production capacity is about 32,000 tonnes. There are eight refrigerator manufacturers in the country with a combined production capacity of over 5 million refrigerators and 6 million compressors annually. Though production has increased 18 per cent per year since 1991, overall capacity utilisation was only 40 per cent in 1994. After liberalisation, demand for domestic refrigerators has increased and is expected to grow by 20 per cent over the next five years. The approximate growth in production could be around 30 lakh refrigerators in 1998-99, 35 lakh in 1999-2000 and 80 lakh by 2004-2005. The total number of domestic refrigerators produced is expected to cross 5.8 million units by the year 2000 and 11.6 million units by 2004-05.
At current growth rates, taking the upper limit, India will be using about 25,000 mt of
cfc s and halons per year by the end of the century. In other words, India will have used -- in a decade -- less than two-thirds of the
cfc s and halons used by the
us in 1985 alone (
see graph : The share of the burden). Clearly, any restrictions on export of these substances would be against India's interests.
