Sariska NP

The goat gamble

It has been a slow and steady shift over decades. Forced by declining returns from farming in ecologically fragile areas, small farmers have been taking to goat rearing. Today, goats ensure income to five million households in India. It is now bonanza time, with demand for goat meat projected to shoot up. India will have to almost double its goat population in 10 years. Government is encouraging goat rearing. But no one considered one question: where will the goats graze? Over the past 50 years land available for grazing has shrunk by half and forests are reportedly overgrazed. If India does not secure its pastures, goats might turn from an asset to a liability, reports Kumar Sambhav Shrivastava

By Kumar Sambhav Shrivastava
Last Updated: Thursday 16 August 2018

The goat gamble

Giyasilal Saini is a marginal farmer who has market savvy. It comes from experience. Living in a semi-arid area like Alwar in Rajasthan, he always knew he could not depend on farming alone. So he would keep some goats, like others in village Jaitpura. Then three years ago the pond that irrigated his tiny field dried up. “Rains have not been enough. I spent a fortune on irrigating my field but could not grow enough for my family,” said the 36-year-old. He devoted his energy to goat rearing.

Within three years Saini’s herd grew from 20 to 80-strong, the largest in his village. “They serve as a 24-hour cash bank,” he said, closely inspecting the mouths of goats. He displayed two large teeth in the lower front jaw of one of the goats. “It means the chhendi (goat) is over 12 months old and the thickness of its backbone suggests it has gained 10 kg of weight,” said Saini. “I can now sell it for at least Rs 1,500.”

Saini sells 35 goats in a year to the Khatiks, a community that trades in goats, for Rs 1,500-1,800 per head. While earlier he could hardly make ends meet, today he has one of the most well maintained houses in the village.

Goat rearing is not capital intensive, hence easy to start. The partially denuded Aravali hills provide free grazing ground; that saves close to 70 per cent of the rearing cost. Being prolific eaters with super efficient digestive system, goats can eat anything anytime.

imageLike Saini thousands of small and marginal farmers in rainfed Rajasthan have switched to goat rearing. In the process they have earned the state a superlative: host to the largest number of goats in the country. As per the National Livestock Census 2007, Rajasthan has 21.5 million goats, which is about 14 per cent of India’s total goat population. In the past 10 years, goats in Rajasthan have increased by 27 per cent as against the all-India rate of 15 per cent. But why does a state with least mutton consumption in the country make this choice?

The reason is ecological. With the expansion of desert in Rajasthan, the population of goats will rise. People shift from agriculture and cattle rearing to goat rearing because goats can survive in harsh environment and still provide good profit. “This is the reason Rajasthan has the highest goat population in the country even though its non- Muslim population is mostly vegetarian,” said K A Singh, director of the Indian Grassland and Fodder Research Institute in Jhansi, Uttar Pradesh.

Sixty per cent of the state is arid or semi-arid. It has suffered 40 droughts in the past 50 years. Less than a third of the total 21.6 million hectares (ha) of cropped area has assured irrigation. Land degradation and uncertain monsoon have encouraged farmers in most parts to diversify into goat farming, vouch farmers of Alwar. The more arid a place, the more its dependence on goat rearing. Livestock contributes up to 60 per cent to the household income of marginal farmers in western Rajasthan.

Goat’s biology makes the trade competitive compared to one-crop rainfed farming. From the age of one, they are able to conceive and breed twice a year. Most of the time they give birth to twins, sometimes to triplets or qua druplets. “It is like a crop. By the time you sell one bunch, another gets ready,” said Saini.

Lucrative crop

India follows Rajasthan’s trajectory in goat rearing. It has the world’s largest goat population after China. As per the National Livestock Census the goat population in the country has almost doubled in 30 years: from 76 million in 1977 to 140.5 million in 2007. The rate of increase in goats in the past five decades has been the highest among all ruminants; they beat sheep and cattle (see graph ‘Goat numbers grow fastest’ on right). This growth rate is in spite of an annual slaughter rate of 38 per cent.

 goat milk  
meat demand chart  
meat export chart  
goat meat chart  

Today about five million households in the country rear goats, up from three million in early 1970s. Many households are absolutely surviving on income from goat rearing. Most of them are poor and marginal farmers, like Saini in Alwar. This reflects in the contribution of livestock to the national GDP. The contribution of the agriculture and allied sector to GDP has declined from 55 per cent in early 1980s to 21 per cent in 2009. But the share of livestock within the agriculture and allied sector has increased from 18 per cent to 23 per cent over the same period.

Market demands

What is also pushing goat numbers is the rising demand for goat meat in India, both for domestic and international market. Consumption demand is more pronounced in urban areas that are growing at the rate of 2.5 per cent per year. While rural population has grown at 1.7 per cent a year between 1981 and 2001, urban population has grown at 3 per cent.

India is the largest goat meat producer after China. The rate of goat meat production (18.6 per cent) in 1997-2007 was double the production rate (9.3 per cent) in the previous decade. Despite a steady increase in supply, goat meat prices are continuously rising. The Wholesale Price Index shows the prices of mutton and goat meat have increased by 75 per cent in the past five years. This is the highest among all the primary food items except pulses and potato. In Delhi, goat meat prices increased from Rs 170 per kg to Rs 260 per kg in the past one year.

“The main reason for the price increase is the rising export of goat meat to West Asia,” said Mohammad Aqil Qureshi, former president of the New Delhi Meat Traders Association. Sixty countries import goat meat from India. Big importers are Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Angola and Egypt. Nearly 80 per cent of the goat meat and mutton export is to West Asia. Although India’s current export of goat and sheep meat is 6.4 per cent of the production, export is where demand is set to explode. Export of goat and sheep meat has, in fact, increased more than eight times in the past two years, while production has increased marginally (see graphs). “People in West Asia are shifting from Australian sheep to Indian goats because the meat of our goats is tastier and low on fat,” said Qureshi.

This has turned goat into a much sought after economic instrument. “Both exporters and local traders buy from the same market. Since exporters have a better purchasing power they have captured 60 per cent of the goat market in Delhi,” said Qureshi. Exporters are buying goats at an even higher price going up to Rs 300 a kg, said Billal Qureshi who owns a meat shop in Delhi. The average sale age of goats is coming down. “We realised demand for the tender meat is rising,” said Rahul Chaturvedi of the Foundation for Ecological Security, an NGO studying the goat market chain in Rajasthan and Karnataka.

imageThe goat meat market is set to rise as the middle class is expanding and meat consumption is increasing. Demand for goat meat and mutton will rise to 12.72 million tonnes in 2020 against 3.8 million tonnes this year (see graph ‘Meat demand to skyrocket’), according to the National Centre for Agricultural Economics and Policy Research, Delhi. India will need 248 million goats to meet this demand, which is almost double the number of goats in 2007.

Insurance for the poor

Goat rearing was never so lucrative. Since goats were domesticated 10,000 years ago, they have been poor people’s most reliable livelihood insurance. The National Institute of Rural Development, Hyderabad, studied the economics of one buffalo v five goats in Rajasthan in 1999. It showed yearly profit from the goats was higher than from a buffalo.

This explains goats’ geographical and class biases. They are found more in ecologically fragile arid and semi-arid areas and goat rearers are mostly the poorest. It is not known whether goats were domesticated for riding out tough life in such areas or goats were responsible for ecological damage. But what is known is that in India goats are the most reliable source of earning a living in ecologically degraded areas. Of the 100 districts with high goat population in India, 24 are agriculturally distressed, 42 are chronically drought-prone and 21 show deforestation in 2007 as compared to 2005. Goat population is also high in disaster-prone areas, like parts of Bihar frequently ravaged by floods. In many ways, goat has everything a poor or a person in emergency needs: low investment, high and consistent returns and near liquid monetary status.

Add to this the spurt in demand for goat meat, and it is nothing short of an economic bonanza for India’s poorest. But the goat’s geographical bias also dictates its growth limit. The biggest incentive for goat rearing—free grazing— may not be there as the number increases. Saini of Alwar grazes his goats on a hill in Sariska National Park. Goats of 40 other villages graze on it. Once the hill is stripped of its vegetation, Saini will have to think of some other ways of providing for his family.

goat meat

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  • grt,skilled people are sick

    grt,skilled people are sick of making success story in same.....
    need more emphasis on commercial projects through different organisations....

    Posted by: Anonymous | 10 years ago | Reply
  • i have read the above article

    i have read the above article and found the same as very much informative.thanks to the author who has drawn attention to future of the goat rearing.our government should think over the same.
    will any body reply to the question raised by author?

    Posted by: Anonymous | 10 years ago | Reply
  • Thanks Mr Singh, I hope the

    Thanks Mr Singh,
    I hope the voice of our readers like will reach the government and will break its silence.

    Posted by: Anonymous | 9 years ago | Reply
  • Dear Singh The above article

    Dear Singh

    The above article information is very short for me. I am interested to do the goat farming. I Want the complete information about goats i.e. which breed of goat is vaible for rajisthan. Which goat give maximum of milk. What are the arrangements to be made for goat farming and other helpful information for goat farming.

    Posted by: Anonymous | 9 years ago | Reply
  • Hi,   Plz guide to start a



    Plz guide to start a mini goat farming with 50 nos. rgds Sanjeev

    Posted by: Anonymous | 9 years ago | Reply
  • great contents WHAT'S MEDICAL

    great contents


    Posted by: Anonymous | 9 years ago | Reply
  • Thanks for putting

    Thanks for putting significant amount of data. However article has been exagrating profits and need to check some of shared information on productivity level -
    1. How many goats kid twice in a year. In present management condition our surveys from 30 places across country has shown that it is less than 30%. 35% goats has kidding interval (time period between two successive kidding) more than 18 months.
    2. Mortality of goats has been more than 22% as per data collected by 22 NGOs across 6 states from selected project areas.
    3. Article has been biased to see only meat as goat product. Interetsingly over 4% of our milk production comes from goats with estimated 10% potential. Poor goat rearing families invariably depends on goat milk for nutrition.
    Especially talking abour Rajastahn and not looking milk contribution is amazing for those who has worked on grassroots with goat faramers in eastern rajasthan.
    A special issue on goat milk can be a timely article to look this business from livelihoods point of view.
    At present average profits per goat has not been more than Rs 1000 for average farmers.

    So looking increasing grazing land or feed availability (which is constrant for any livestock in fact), emphasis on productivity has not been focussed in any government program. There is surely limited scope of grazing land management given the prevailing conditions but productivity has scope of almost doubling the product from same number of goats if work on it taken seriously. Perhaps goat has been only large livelihoods where technology and management has not seen any input from the people highly educated.

    Posted by: Anonymous | 9 years ago | Reply
  • I have read the above article

    I have read the above article and found the same as very much informative.thanks to the author who has collect data and drawn attention to future of the goat rearing.but this is not sufficient for goat rearing ...

    Posted by: Anonymous | 8 years ago | Reply
  • Very good observation.Way

    Very good observation.Way back some decades, poultry was nothing. But it was the entry of private people like venkateshwara hatcheries and their in depth research in to it made a big difference. there is no private people have entered in to poultry like contract, that is why there is no development in R & D of goats.

    Posted by: Anonymous | 8 years ago | Reply


    Posted by: Anonymous | 8 years ago | Reply
  • please send me information

    please send me information about goat markets in each districts of rajasthan

    Posted by: Anonymous | 8 years ago | Reply
  • Hi, The article did miss

    The article did miss its commercial goat farming view, as it has becoming a good venture for youths as Enterprise.

    Posted by: Anonymous | 7 years ago | Reply
  • I feel that this is not an

    I feel that this is not an easy job as we think from out side,it is looking profitable because 70% of nutritional cost ls not incurred by rural small holders
    The mortality rates are high before weaning only.
    The milk is very good for infaNts and contains anti allergina etc , but branding may take long time
    Of course the demand for end product is more and go on increasing

    Posted by: Anonymous | 6 years ago | Reply
  • Only solution i think is hydroponic system. Govt.should promote this.i have almost zero cost technology

    Posted by: Mukesh Kumar | 3 years ago | Reply
  • Can you give me some information about the goat export how can I start it

    Posted by: Arshad Khan | 2 years ago | Reply
  • It is true that Goat meat price has a steep increase and presently in Hyde it's cost per kg is 540 rs.
    Goat farming is the best way to compensate the ever-growing demand to the domestic as well as International Meat demand as it can also increase the GDP of India by Exporting it to other countries.
    Lastly, for the issue of deforestation, the farmers have to adapt to the modern methods of farming which includes Hydroponic Fodder Production, Silage Feeding as it comes form the remains after crop harvesting, Concentrate Feed or combining all as TMR.

    Posted by: Uthkarsh Goulikar | 2 years ago | Reply
  • I supply goat to Saudi Arabia in very reasonable price please contact me on my

    Posted by: Vijay Urade | one year ago | Reply