On El Nino's track

Down To Earth has been following the current El Nino since July. A lowdown

 
Last Updated: Saturday 04 July 2015

With its long-range forecasts for the southwest monsoon season rainfall, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has confirmed that this is going to be a drought year. During the monsoon season (August to September), a rainfall of 43.5cm is expected. This is just 49 per cent of the average season's rainfall based on the 1951-2000 climatology.

The reason for this is the development of El Nino conditions in the Equatorial Pacific during the recent two weeks. The latest forecasts from a majority of the dynamical and statistical models indicate strong possibility of weak to moderate El Nino conditions emerging during the next two months. The probability is as high as 65 per cent. These conditions are likely to have an adverse impact on the rainfall over India during the second half of the monsoon season.

 
By Dinsa Sachan,  Date: April 27, 2012
El-Nino could emerge later but drought unlikely
 
 
By Dinsa Sachan,  Date: June 04, 2012
Weather conditions that promote El Nino persistent, says Met department; drought feared
 
 
By Dinsa Sachan,  Date: July 17, 2012
Australian Met department says climatic indicators for the phenomenon have eased
 
 
By Hemant Nair,  Date: July 06, 2012
Report hints at global warming as the cause
 
 
 

 

 

 

Subscribe to Weekly Newsletter :

Comments are moderated and will be published only after the site moderator’s approval. Please use a genuine email ID and provide your name. Selected comments may also be used in the ‘Letters’ section of the Down To Earth print edition.