PETER B STONE presents an objective re-examination of the recent scare over the mad cow disease in Europe
PITY lexicographer. His job is hard as it is. But imagine how
difficult it would be if, on defining the word 'up', it was
necessary to add that it might just as well mean 'down'. It
would be a very Alice-in-Wonderlandish dictionary, which
might be worse than no dictionary at all.
It has not quite come to that yet, and although people
of my age regret the transmogrification of once useful
words like 'gay' and 'nice', at least they do not mean quite
their opposite. But there is a grim satisfaction to be
derived from what has happened to the phrase, "the
authorities say there is no cause for alarm". This now
quite simply means: "Sit up and get
scared because something awful has
,happened and nobody with responsibilities knows what to do."
Such phrases usually show only
surface and one gets little chance to
see what lies beneath. However, the
mad cow disease is providing a
rare and revealing exception. Its scientific name is bovine spongiform
encephalopathy (BSE), and it has
brought about a worldwide ban on the
import of British beef. And at times
you may be forgiven for thinking that
it i also bringing down the British
government, propelling Britain out of
the European Union (EU), ruining the
lives of the hundreds and thousands in
the food trade all over Europe, and
may be turning hundreds of thousands
of humans as mad as today's dying
cows - depending on how alarmed
you are by the authorities' denial.
It is a story with nearly everything in it. And it is
full of environmental morals. It did not start in March 1996,
but has been rumbling on since 1986, when the first
cases Of BSE were discovered. It was believed by government scientists that the probable infective agent could
not jump species, at least not species as far apart as
humans and cows. Nevertheless, everyone believed that the
agent prion, a protein smaller than a virus, had come
from sheep infected with a similar disease known for 200 years
as scrapie.
The name came from the habit of the distressed animals
rubbing their heads on walls and fences. But how had the disease spread from the sheep to the cows? Not sure. But a likely
pathway from sheep to cows was afforded by the practice of
providing high-protein cattle feed containing ground-up dead
sheep. This feed, which helped the animals gain weight, was
used to supplement the normal diet of grass.
It took two more years after the discovery Of BSE for the
practice to be banned and BSE was declared a notifiable disease.
The government then ordered the compulsory slaughter of all
infected cows. Only three years into the outbreak did the government finally ban the use of offal (including brains and
spinal cords) in pies and sausages.
According to a grand old British government maxim, "the
scientist should be on tap, but never on top". But this binary
regime can have exceptions, especially when political authorities get nervous. By 1989, they were just that. An invitation
went out to a senior and very distinguished
Oxford zoologist, Richard Southwood to
study the problem. His committee promulgated the first environmental moral
caution. The committee's report highlighted the "unnatural feeding practices"
in modern farming and asked whether
feeding mammalian flesh to herbivores enormous
might not lead to the transfer of
pathogens. The issue had been raised long,
before by a Royal Commission on
Environmental Pollution, but the authorities (business and political) had seen no cause for alarm.
The Southwood group thought it was
unlikely that BSE could be transmitted to relations
humans. Other scientists, neither on tap to
the government nor in the thrall of agribusiness, were more blunt in their warnings. They stopped their own families from eating beef Quite
unlike the minister of agriculture of the day, who put his
own child eating a beef burger on television to show there was
really no cause for alarm!
The Creutzefeld-Jakob disease or CJD, with which BSE has
been linked, was very rare and usually found in older people.
It was when it turned up in the young that the authorities
warned the public and produced a cause, if not for alarM3 at
least for concern. The minister for health told the House of
Commons on March 20 that what appeared to be a variant of
CJD had surfaced in 10 recent cases, with the average age of the
victims being 25. The most likely explanation was that the
cases were linked to exposure to BSE before the introduction of
the offal ban in 1989.
The effect was electric. British beef was banned from
being imported into Europe and beef sales dropped all
over the continent. The livelihood of farmers producing
French3 German or Italian beef was severely damaged
by mere association. Other governments in the EU were
forgiven for keeping British beef out until their respective
citizenry were convinced that BSE was removed from the
food chain.
The British minister for agriculture embarked on
weekly trips to negotiate with the European Commission for
a relaxation of the ban, with politicians at home calling
for reprisals against European products imported into
Britain, like French apples. Cynics soon remarked that
BsE haicome to mean "Blame somebody else". Meanwhile,
the Tory Party is tearing itself apart, especially over the
threat to the pound sterling from plans for a single
European currency. The beef ban was invoked to prove how
British sovereignty had ebbed away to Brussels.
In short, there is a huge mishmash of half-truths, illogicalities, misrepresentations and enormous losses to farmers, food
processors, transport companies and shop keepers, with damage to relations with friendly countries to boot.
One of the few positive aspects of the whole affair is
the public revelation of what really goes on in Britain's
',highly efficient (as economists see it) farming industry.
The actual cost of cheap food may be far higher
than environmentalists ever thought. The option of
slaughtering all of Britain's cattle at a cost of f 12
billion (us $18 billion) in compensation
alone, has actually been mentioned.
A horrified populace has now come to
learn that cows have been fed on sheep
carcasses - brains, hooves and bones
too; that chicken manure and bits of
beaks and claws are fed back to
poultry, and that the most farmed
herbivorous animals are fed industrial fish
(fish of any kind and size intended for
processing on an industrial scale,
raiher than for sale in shops), vacuumed
up from the polluted and nearby
North Sea. Incidentally, such fishing
bits lowered the fish stocks to dangerous
levels and affected the survival of sea
birds. The public have learned about the
boiling and processing of carcasses, hides
and bones after the butchers have taken
the meat for human consumption.
It would be nice to report that the 'virtuous' organic
farmers with disease'-free herds - fed on grass - have
emerged with increased respect and improved prospects. Alas3
the government's gesture to restoring public confidence
involves slaughtering all cows 30 months old.
Perhaps the most important lesson for the authorities
is to be found in a smaller letter in the British Medical
Journal. A number of doctors interviewed 155 residents
of south London on their knowledge Of BSE,
and changes in their behaviour due to the knowledge of
the risks involved. They concluded that even before the
current scare, "The public seemed to have picked up on the
uncertainty about the scientific evidence in the media,
made up their minds and acted accordingly. The public
are more sophisticated than we give them credit for;
public health messages should take this into account.
If people are given absolute answers to questions for
which the evidence is uncertain, they seem not to get
the message."
So, instead of arrogantly saying that "there is no cause for
alarm", authorities might try something like: "We know you
are somewhat worried about - whatever it is. So are we, and
we have our best scientists trying to get as near as possible to
the truth."
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