Finding a way through prolonged haze and policy maze

As cities around the world saw smog-ridden days and unabated carbon emission in 2016, Down To Earth looks into the scale of problem and solutions to look for in 2017

By Subhojit Goswami
Published: Wednesday 14 December 2016
Despite facing severe air pollution, China aims at increasing coal power generation capacity by 19 per cent over the next five years. Credit: Han Jun Zeng/ Flicker

Air pollution scenario

The national capital region of India continues to gasp for clean air even since the haze descended on October 30. The smog that emerged due to a combination of factors like burning of firecrackers, paddy burning and emission from power plants could not be dispersed due to a drop in wind speed, increase in humidity and low temperature. On November 5 and 6, PM2.5 levels in Delhi reached 837 microgram per cubic metre (µg/m3), much higher than the safe limit—60 µg/m3.

To put things into perspective, when PM 2.5 concentration level hovers between 90 and 120µ/m3, people with respiratory issues start feeling discomfort. At 120-250µ/m3, categorised as “very poor”, the risk of developing respiratory illness on prolonged exposure increases. Like the recent episode of extreme pollution, almost every winter in the last two decades caught Delhi unaware with a spike in levels of pollution.

While the Down To Earth tracked the 20-year-long fight to clean Delhi's air, it’s study shows how several smaller cities turned out to be more polluted than the national capital. Going by the daily Air Quality Index (AQI) that the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) releases for 32 cities, Kanpur, Lucknow and Faridabad had witnessed worse air quality than Delhi on different days in the first two weeks of November 2016. Varanasi and Allahabad also sprung a surprise as they didn’t observe even a single day of “good” air quality in more than 220 days when measurements were taken.

Sharing border with the state of Punjab in India, the Pakistani city of Lahore is also a victim of severe air pollution. It has seen a permanent haze hanging over the city during winter for the last five years. The poor air quality in the city is attributed to increased vehicular and industrial emissions, especially from the coal-based industries in east Punjab, closer to the border with India.

Is China exporting pollution to the US?

Neighbouring China witnesses 76 deaths per 100,000 people every year and it is also the world’s deadliest country for outdoor air pollution, according to the World Health Organization (WHO).

Particulate matter in China causes 17 per cent of all deaths and two birth defects a minute.  Winter-time pollution has remained a nagging concern for a country where coal still dominates the energy mix. Coal is, in fact, responsible for about 40 per cent of the PM 2.5 in China’s atmosphere.

While Donald Trump can disregard global warming as China’s creation, he must be really concerned over the country exporting pollution to the US. Chinese manufacturers, who are accused of killing the US industry and jobs, are now held responsible for pollution in the US. But how? Particulate matter, heavy metals and other poisons emitted by Chinese factories move across the East China Sea contributing 40 per cent of Tokyo’s air pollution. These pollutants travel all the way to the US in about four days. According to a NASA study, 25-30 per cent of California’s air pollution originates in China.

While the US regulatory regime punishes local companies with huge costs and force them to ensure air quality improvements, cleaner emissions are offset by pollution from China crossing the Pacific.

Alarmingly high air pollution in EU cities

The year 2016 was forgettable for many European cities as they, too, witnessed a spike in air pollution levels. In the first week of December, Paris experienced three polluted days in a row in what is considered the worst bout of air pollution for at least 10 years. Low wind speed failed to disperse the smog that blanketed Paris and veiled the Eiffel Tower. The pollution was the result of a combination of vehicular emission and emission from domestic wood fires. For more than a week, the French capital recorded PM10 more than 80 µg/m3, reaching 146 µg/m3 on December 1.

London was worse off in 2016. It is one of the most polluted cities in the UK with nitrogen dioxide (NO2) level continuously breaching the EU standards. In fact, air pollution has been linked to nearly 9,500 premature deaths in the city every year. If we consider the UK, over 90 per cent of the population lives in areas with average PM2.5 level is above the WHO’s air quality limits of 10 µg/m3. Meanwhile, a High Court judge has asked the government to submit an improved air quality action plan by July 2017.

Global actions

The Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) in India recommended a slew of measures to be taken for moderate, poor, very poor, severe and emergency categories of air quality in India. In its submission made to the Supreme Court on December 2, the CPCB suggested enforcement of pollution control measures in thermal power plants through PCB monitoring, mechanised sweeping on roads and water sprinkling on unpaved roads. It also called for ensuring that only trucks registered after 2005 are allowed entry into the national capital and vigilance to stop plying of visibly polluting vehicles is enhanced.

Meanwhile, the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has called for an emergency action to tackle emergency situation. According to the CSE, vehicle restraint measures, including odd-even scheme and parking restraints, must be implemented immediately. It has long been advocating stepping up of inter-state coordination to address smoke plumes from farm fires in Punjab and Haryana.

India, especially Delhi, has lessons to learn from Paris. The French capital took prompt actions when it was hit by the worst air pollution in a decade which can threaten public health. Paris not only resorted to vehicle rationing to restrict number of vehicles on the road but also imposed driving restrictions in Lyon. Public transit was made free. It was the fourth ban in 20 years and for the first time Paris took such a move on consecutive days. Paris police also reduced speed limits, banned outdoor and indoor fires and even put restrictions on indoor heating.

Like Paris, other capital cities also resolved to act against vehicle emission and implement ban on diesel-powered cars and trucks. By 2025, four major cities—Paris, Mexico City, Madrid and Athens—are expected to enforce a ban on the use of all diesel-powered vehicles to improve air quality. To clamp down on diesel-related pollution, the mayors of the cities expressed their commitment to do "everything in their power to incentivise the use of electric, hydrogen and hybrid vehicles".

London

The city, which has been haunted by the memories of the Great Smog of 1952 that killed 4,000 people within a week, is going to get an increased budget to improve air quality. Mayor Sadiq Khan has promised to double the funding to £875 million over the next five years. If approved, £312 million will be spent on cleaning up Transport for London’s 9,300-strong bus fleet. About £65 million will be used to incentivise taxi drivers to switch from the oldest black cabs (over 10 years old) to new ones with zero-emission capability.

China’s plan to cleanse air of toxicity

China’s Five-Year Plan (2016-2020) on environmental improvements talks about significant reduction of major pollutants, effective control of environmental risks, supply-side structural reform and improvement in energy efficiency by 2020. The plan also lays down the target of reducing the share of coal in total energy consumption to 58 per cent or lower by 2020.

According to the plan, coal use in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and regions along the Pearl River Delta should drop by 10 per cent from 2016-2020. These regions have been asked to draw up a plan for ecological protection by the end of 2017.

Challenges

The Delhi government’s knee-jerk response to severe air pollution has come under scathing attack by environmental experts and activists for “getting obsessed with technical fixes” and shying away from “addressing the root cause of the problem”. The idea of installing outdoor air purifiers met with protests as it is economically unviable and doesn’t address the cause of pollution.

Lack of a holistic approach is another issue delaying effective implementation. The government has plans to make BS IV fuel (with 50 ppm of sulphur as against 350 ppm in BS III) available nationwide by April 1, 2017. The BS III vehicles cause 80 per cent more PM emission than BS IV ones and hence, it is imperative for the transition to happen. However, the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) has recently informed the Environment Pollution Control Authority (EPCA) that it will not be able to comply with the order on stopping sales of BS III vehicles from April 1, 2017. The two-wheeler manufacturers, who had one year to make the transition to cleaner technology, are likely to miss the deadline since they have huge inventories to sell. Hence, deadlines to bring new cleaner vehicles will get postponed.

According to a Down To Earth report, the existing mechanisms for monitoring, controlling and reporting pollution are inadequate. Most industries in the country get away with under-reporting of their pollution levels. While continuous emission monitoring system (CEMS) has been implemented in 80 per cent of the 2,700 large-scale industries since 2014, the implementation is marred by insufficient information on different technologies available, quality of equipment, lack of proper installation, operation and maintenance.

Procedural delays are also holding the government from implementing measures on ground. Although the Supreme Court approved the Central Pollution Control Board’s (CPCB) “graded response action plan” on December 2, the apex court sent a detailed order to the government on December 13. The implementation is unlikely to happen before the end of January 2017, which means Delhiites will have to face another winter ordeal.

China’s policy problems

Toxicity in air and long spell of smog in major cities in China can be attributed to the growth-at-all-costs policy and energy-intensive development. The main sources of pollution are coal-fired power plants and exhaust emissions from vehicles. Despite this, the country aims at increasing coal power generation capacity by 19 per cent over the next five years. A review of China’s National Action Plan for Air Pollution Prevention and Control revealed that the eight provinces in the country added on 50.8 GW of new coal-fired energy capacity between 2013 and 2015. On top of this, 42 GW of additional coal-fired capacity is under construction and 11 GW more was approved in 2015.

Investment gap in green sectors also poses a huge obstacle to the fight against air pollution. According to Wang­Jinnan, chief engineer of the Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning, about 1.75 trillion yuan ($254.1 billion) is needed to meet China’s pollution-reduction targets by 2017. However, economic slowdown and prolonged global recession are making government focus more on preventing layoffs and factory shutdowns as unemployment can lead to social instability. Lack of funding is one of the reasons affecting progress of cleaning up Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, one of the most polluted in the world.

Diesel vehicles in London

While the London Mayor is right in its approach towards making the city buses cleaner and incentivising taxi drivers to switch from old to new cars, his plans don’t seem to address the issue of diesel emissions from other diesel vehicles still polluting the city. Sensitisation exercise in the city hasn’t prevented motorists from giving up diesel as the number of diesel vehicles licenced in London rose from 601,456 in 2012 to 774,513 in 2015.

Instead of framing policies to penalise individuals, the government needs to revive the proposed diesel scrappage scheme for a major overhaul of London’s air quality. Time is running out for taking a concrete action to phase out diesel cars. The Mayor’s proposal of levying a £12.50 ($15.90) penalty on drivers of diesel vehicles misses the point.

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