Governance

Match migrants’ skills with needs of ageing countries to drive global growth: World Bank report

Populations across the globe ageing at an unprecedented pace, global competition for workers and talent to intensify

 
By Nandita Banerji
Published: Tuesday 25 April 2023
About 184 million people worldwide, including 37 million refugees, lack citizenship in the country in which they live, according to the report. Photo: iStock __

The share of working-age adults will drop sharply in many countries over the next few decades. However, migration can be a unique opportunity for economies and people as well as meet the growth needs of both origin and destination countries, according to a new report from the World Bank.

As populations across the globe age at an unprecedented pace, the global competition for workers and talent will intensify. Many countries will be increasingly reliant on migration to realise their long-term growth potential, World Development Report 2023: Migrants, Refugees, and Societies said.


Read more: India’s population to surpass China’s this year: UN report calls for focus on reproductive rights


A recent United Nations report showed the world population has reached the eight billion mark and is expected to grow for decades. However, mostly developing and poor countries like India are witnessing a rise in young population, while the developed countries have crossed that phase as depopulation has set in.

The World Bank proposed policies for better migration management in destination, transit and origin countries, underscoring its urgency. 

The report discussed the migration trade-offs using a “Match-Motive Framework”.

The “match” aspect is grounded in labour economics and focuses on how well migrants’ skills and related attributes match the needs of the destination countries and “motive” refers to the circumstances under which a person moves in search of opportunity.

This determines the extent to which migrants, origin countries and destination countries gain from migration: The stronger the match, the larger the gains.

By combining “match” and “motive,” the framework identified policy priorities for countries of origin, transit and destination and the international community, the World Bank said. It also discussed how bilateral, plurilateral, or multilateral initiatives and instruments could improve the policy response.


Read more: China’s shrinking population may lead to xenophobia, threaten CCP’s hold on power: Geeta Kochhar


Origin countries should make labour migration an explicit part of their development strategy, the report suggested.

Destination countries should encourage migration where the skills migrants bring are in high demand, facilitate their inclusion and address social impacts that raise concerns among their citizens, it further said.  

The World Bank also urged for international cooperation and multilateral efforts to strengthen the match of migrants’ skills with the needs of destination societies.

The report used data-driven and evidence-based examples and assessment of trade-offs, showing how migration can work for development. These policies can help harness economic opportunities and mitigate the difficulties and risks that migrants face, the paper further said. 

Spain, with a population of 47 million, is projected to shrink by more than one-third by 2100, with those above age 65 increasing from 20 per cent to 39 per cent of the population. Countries like Mexico, Thailand, Tunisia and Türkiye may soon need more foreign workers because their population is no longer growing.


Read more: Busting the myth of population rise threat


Meanwhile, most low-income countries are expected to see rapid population growth, putting them under pressure to create more jobs for young people.

About 184 million people worldwide, including 37 million refugees, lack citizenship in the country in which they live, according to the report. Less than half, or 43 per cent, live in low- and middle-income countries. 

Migration issues are becoming even more widespread and urgent due to severe divergences between and within countries— in terms of real wages, labour market opportunities, demographic patterns and climate costs, the World Bank said. 

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