More Uttarakhand disasters in the offing

Soon-to-be-finalized state action plan on climate change full of extreme events warnings
More Uttarakhand disasters in the offing

The cloudburst-induced flood in Uttarakhand was a disaster waiting to happen. The state’s draft action plan on climate change is full of such warnings. A prudent document, it captures vulnerability assessments on Uttarakhand, people’s perceptions of climate change and how they are getting affected by the change. The document is also a comment on the development model in the state and raises several points about how development should not be done in an ecologically fragile region. The draft plan also gives a long list of activities that the state has planned or is planning to make its people more resilient, but it is a case of too little, too late as far as the current floods are concerned.

Vulnerable state

Uttarakhand has been a story of droughts, landslides and floods. In 2008 and 2009, the state experienced severe drought conditions. In 2010, people had to grapple with floods, flash floods, landslides and cloud bursts. Little wonder that the draft plan says “Uttarakhand is most vulnerable to climate-mediated risks”. The document cites instances of receding glaciers, depleting natural resources and erratic rainfall to reinforce this point. These are accompanied by more indicators such as irregular winter rains, changes in flowering pattern and drying up of perennial streams that point to a change happening in the hill state, some that people have observed (see box: people’s perceptions). And these changes have large-scale impacts.

People’s perceptions of climate change
 
People in the hill state consider onset of monsoon to be more uncertain compared to other phases of rainfall in Uttarakhand, reveals a study by International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development and International Fund for Agricultural Development found. The study documented people’s perceptions of how climate change impacted their immediate surroundings and livelihoods. Some of their other findings were:
  • Overall less rainfall, and more erratic
  • Overall decreased water availability
  • Less or absent winter rains
  • Increased frequency of intense rainfall events
  • Increase in pests and disease
  • Increasing temperatures
  • Warmer and shorter winters with less snowfall
  • Day-to-day and medium-term planning of farm operations more difficult
  • Greater losses in Rabi as compared to Kharif season
  • Increased pressure on forests resulting into decline of biodiversity
  • Changes in phenology/composition of species
  • Habitats of many species moving upward or pole ward
  • Proliferation of invasive species
  • Change of moisture regime in different forest types
  • Increase in human-animal conflicts
 
Wait, is it all just climate?
Road to development
 
Road construction in the state has caused deforestation and soil erosion, leading to uprooting of large trees; disturbance in geological strata, disturbances in water resources, impacted biodiversity, caused pollution and destroyed medicinal wealth, according to the draft state action plan on climate change. The document also claims that the public works department is aware of the implications of climate change and is committed to taking steps to minimize the environmental footprint of the roads sector. If the plan is cleared, new road construction may happen after an environmental impact assessment and geological investigations and without blasting operations. Or, so one hopes.
 
State’s wish list

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