PM Narendra Modi. Photo shared from his X handle @narendramodi / X

DTE Reportage: Verdict 2024

Down To Earth analysed the results of the 2024 Lok Sabha polls through a green lens

1. Verdict 2024: Odisha’s women may have helped tilt scales in state against BJD, say experts

More women voted in Odisha this time than men. Photo: @Naveen_Odisha / X

Women have long been a BJD vote bank; but excessive campaigning by BJP in addition to poll promises may have influenced female voters to go saffron
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2. Verdict 2024: Did farmer grievances about paddy MSP lead to BJD’s defeat in Odisha?

Odisha CM Naveen Patnaik puts in his signature for the immediate disbursal of assistance to farmers of Odisha under the KALIA scheme in 2019. Photo: @CMO_Odisha / X

Leaders feel farmers may have bought into the BJP’s promise to pay Rs 3,100 as paddy MSP if it came to power
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3. Verdict 2024: Farmers in Tamil Nadu’s Thanjavur vote in INDIA bloc over Cauvery water scarcity, drought & MSP

Rice paddies in Thanjavur, Tamil Nadu. Photo: iStock

Farmers form a bulk of the electorate in the rice bowl of Tamil Nadu; but they have had to face water scarcity which has affected their ‘kuruvai’ and ‘samba’ crops
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4. Why did 2024 Lok Sabha predictions miss the mark? Here’s the science behind exit polls

2024 general election result counting in progress by Rajasthan State Election Commission. Photo: Chief Electoral Officer, Rajasthan @CeoRajasthan / X (formerly Twitter)

Experts say limitation of sampling methodology, reworking of uniform swing regions and structural issues could be behind polling industry mistakes
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5. Verdict 2024: Poll results in Maharashtra’s onion belt reflect farmer fury for BJP

Upset over the onion export ban, Deola taluka in Maharashtra had shut doors to Lok Sabha campaigning.

The NDA has lost 12 seats in the 13 Lok Sabha constituencies with the highest concentration of onion farmers
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6. Verdict 2024: Farmers’ angst clearly caused BJP’s retreat from India’s agrarian belt

Similar to Punjab, the rural population in Haryana didn’t let BJP candidates enter the villages to campaign for votes. Photo: Vikas Choudhary / CSE

The lacklustre performance of BJP in the agrarian belt of Punjab, Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh is being attributed to the rising disappointment amongst the farming communities
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7. Verdict 2024: Ignoring farmers’ demands & police action over power plant land compensation cost BJP Buxar Lok Sabha seat

RJD candidate Sudhakar Singh (Right) is widely recognised for his advocacy of farmers’ rights. Photo: @_Sudhaker_singh / X (Formerly Twitter)

Protests over power plant land acquisition shifted voters’ favour to RJD candidate and farmers’ rights advocate Sudhakar Singh
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8. Verdict 2024: Migrant hub western Odisha voted for change, shows BJP overthrow of BJD strongholds

Naveen Patnaik resigned from the post of Odisha chief minister on June 5, 2024. Photo: @Naveen_Odisha / X (Formerly Twitter)

‘Out of reach’ Naveen Patnaik’s loss to underdog Laxman Bag underscored by relevant issues taking backseat, campaign management by VK Pandian
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9. Verdict 2024: Odisha fishers help BJP net victory in state and general elections

Fisherfolk in Paradip. Photo: Ashis Senapati

Fuel prices and neglect help reel in votes amid tides of discontent
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10. Verdict 2024: As BJP sweeps Uttarakhand, experts say local & environmental issues were not pre-eminent during polls

Men and women collecting forest wood in Nainital district, Uttarakhand. Photo for representation. Courtesy: Varsha Singh

Locals were not happy with their incumbent lawmakers; but they still voted for PM Narendra Modi & his party
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11. Verdict 2024: Pending forest land allotment to residents in Odisha’s Mahakalapada proved fatal for BJD

The local demand for a bridge over the Gobari river also played a pivotal role in the polls. Photo: Ashis Senapati

Apart from the obvious anti-incumbency, BJD’s defeat in Odisha’s Mahakalapada assembly seat also owes its credit to the failure in allotting forest land to its rightful owners
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12. Verdict 2024: Inaction against polluting mines, corrupt officials, malnutrition cost BJD the Sukinda seat

Juang women of Nagada village in Sukinda, Odisha. Photo: Author provided

The development versus health debate drove anti-incumbency sentiments among the area's tribals this year
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13. Verdict 2024: BJP setback in Karnataka product of misplaced priorities in agriculture, water distribution & tribal land policies

Member of parliament from Bangalore South constituency Tejasvi Surya (Right) with former Prime Minister of India HD Deve Gowda. Photo: @Tejasvi_Surya / X (formerly Twitter)

Loss of 8 seats linked to several missteps amid rising anti-incumbency sentiment
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14. Verdict 2024: Agniveer scheme, caste polarisation & Jat reservation cost BJP Rajasthan

Although Rajputs are traditionally BJP supporters, in this election, the Rajput community did not show as much interest in voting as they have in the past. Photo: Wikimedia Commons

BJP swept most of Rajasthan’s 25 seats in last Lok Sabha elections; However, this time it won only 14
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15. Verdict 2024: Lack of focus on regional issues cost BJP both the Telugu states

Kaleshwaram Lift Irrigation Project meets 70 per cent of Telangana’s agriculture, domestic and industrial water needs. Photo: bhoopalapally.telangana.gov.in

Kaleshwaram Lift Irrigation Scheme boosted BRS in Telangana, while water woes and farmer unrest dominated in Andhra Pradesh
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16. A vocal for local verdict

Photo shared from PM Narendra Modi's X handle, @narendramodi

PM Modi’s performance on the most important issues of unemployment, price rise and dipping income didn’t reflect the slogan he had once coined; it became a rallying cry this election
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