Predicting the intensity

Last Updated: Saturday 04 July 2015 | 02:50:09 AM

The question of when and how hard the next El Nio or La Nia will hit can now be answered up to nine months ahead of the event. This would be possible because of pioneering work done by the climate scientists of Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO). "We use sophisticated climate models run on a supercomputer to predict sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. These temperatures provide a measure of the strength of El Nio and La Nia," says Ian Smith of CSIRO (, November 30, 2001).

Subscribe to Weekly Newsletter :
We are a voice to you; you have been a support to us. Together we build journalism that is independent, credible and fearless. You can further help us by making a donation. This will mean a lot for our ability to bring you news, perspectives and analysis from the ground so that we can make change together.

Comments are moderated and will be published only after the site moderator’s approval. Please use a genuine email ID and provide your name. Selected comments may also be used in the ‘Letters’ section of the Down To Earth print edition.