Environment

Storm Shaheen predicted to intensify into severe cyclonic storm by tonight

The cyclonic storm is moving away from the Indian coast  

 
By DTE Staff
Published: Friday 01 October 2021
Storm Shaheen, October 1, 2021 afternoon; imaging: Earth Null School

Cyclonic storm Shaheen was moving away from the Indian coast and its impacts will not be felt on the mainland, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said October 1, 2021.

Shaheen, on Arabian Sea moved west-northwestwards at about 20 kilometres per hour in the early hours of October 1. By early morning, it was in the central parts of north Arabian Sea, some 440 kilometres west-northwest away from Dwarka, Gujarat.

According to IMD’s morning bulletin:

It is very likely to further intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during the next 12 hours and move west-northwestwards skirting Makran coast during next 36 hours. Thereafter it is likely to re-curve west-southwestwards move towards Oman coast across Gulf of Oman and weaken gradually.

The met department added that “as the system is moving away from the Indian coast, no further impact is likely over the Indian Mainland.”

The Weather Channel quoted Sridhar Balasubramanian, an associate professor at the Indian Institute of Technology Bombay as saying: “The sea-surface temperature (SST) is not too high (28-29°C); wind shear is moderate; the Madden-Julian Oscillation is also not very favourable. So, what is the likely reason for the reintensification? The only thing that is aiding intensification is the monsoon low-level jet, bringing copious amounts of moisture from the Central Arabian Sea. Coupled with Moderate SST and moderate wind shear has allowed re-intensification.”

Down To Earth September 27 reported this rare occurrence of Cyclone Gulab, which made landfall on the eastern coast of India on the night of September 26, 2021, might achieve a rare feat in the next few days. “It might travel as a low-pressure area across the width of peninsular India and re-emerge in the Arabian Sea, according to data from the Global Forecasting System (GFS) of the United States as represented in the website Earth Null School.”

Shaheen is this re-emerged cyclonic storm.

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